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Good morning. One investor known as it “the unlikeliest Trump trade ever”: Ukraine’s sovereign bonds have surged in worth as buyers guess that the incoming US president will obtain a fast finish to the struggle with Russia and enhance Kyiv’s capability to repay debtors.
At the moment, Laura stories on the (much more) delayed rollout of the EU’s much-vaunted biometric border system, and our financial system correspondent explains why increasingly pretend stuff is making an attempt to succeed in your procuring basket.
How will Donald Trump’s presidency remodel international commerce and monetary markets? Pose your inquiries to FT journalists in a reside Q&A at 4pm CET in the present day. You possibly can depart your questions within the remark part beneath this text.
Border bugs
Travellers don’t have to fret about terribly lengthy queues when getting into the EU for a short time. The bloc’s revamped digital border system in all probability gained’t come into pressure earlier than subsequent spring, writes Laura Dubois.
Context: The EU has delayed the introduction of its new “Entry Exit System” after Germany, France and the Netherlands stated that the mandatory pc programs weren’t prepared, and trade representatives warned of queues and delays.
The European Fee is now engaged on laws to section within the new system, which would require international travellers to register their fingerprints, facial photographs and different private particulars upon arriving. It can additionally enable border police to right away see whether or not and for the way lengthy persons are allowed to remain within the bloc.
EU officers yesterday mentioned totally different potentialities to introduce the system solely in components for now, in line with a number of individuals briefed on the talks.
Choices embody implementing the brand new controls solely at sure border crossings, for example beginning with small airports, or checking solely sure teams of travellers, three of the individuals stated. A 3rd possibility may very well be feeding solely sure knowledge into the system, they added.
“The member states will have a certain amount of leeway in how to implement the different aspects [of the system],” stated an EU diplomat. One other diplomat stated that these member states that have been prepared might already implement the checks totally.
The fee was aiming to current one thing within the coming weeks, for the transition interval to begin in spring 2025, stated two of the individuals.
However when the system — which resembles border checks within the US which were in place for years — will likely be totally operational in any respect border crossings stays unclear. One possibility that has been thought-about is a transition interval of six months, in line with the diplomats and officers.
Chart du jour: Payback
Brussels has reinstated its strict debt guidelines post-pandemic. However economists warn that tightening the belt now might hurt funding and weigh on progress, at a time when the EU is already struggling to maintain up with the US.
Faking it
Purchased something on-line these days? It’s possible you’ll need to verify your purchases: Customs authorities have seized report quantities of counterfeit items getting into the EU final 12 months, writes Paola Tamma.
Officers seized 152mn pretend objects final 12 months both contained in the EU or at its borders — 77 per cent greater than the 12 months earlier than, in line with figures revealed yesterday. The products have been price a complete of €3.4bn, a leap of 68 per cent in worth.
Context: Customs and regulation enforcement are liable for imposing EU mental property rights each within the inner market and on the bloc’s exterior borders.
The primary wrongdoer in the case of pretend items is China, the place 56 per cent of seized objects got here from, adopted by Hong Kong and Turkey.
Video games accounted for nearly half of the products, then got here toys, CDs and DVDs. Labels and stickers in addition to packaging supplies made up round 10 per cent of the loot, indicating that unbranded items are being imported into the EU in components to be assembled later — and to keep away from detection.
“These figures highlight the importance of EU-level efforts to tackle counterfeiting but also the increasing challenges to legitimate businesses and the security of EU consumers,” EU financial system commissioner Paolo Gentiloni, who’s liable for customs, advised the FT.
He additionally known as for progress on an EU customs reform, which incorporates measures to higher deal with unlawful commerce and which is at the moment being negotiated by member states.
The EU’s Mental Property Workplace yesterday stated that the steep improve in seized items was the results of a strengthening of enforcement ways, and better seizures particularly contained in the EU inner market. In a single single raid co-ordinated by Europol, greater than 19mn objects price an estimated €79mn in whole have been seized.
Most objects have been detected in Italy, the place 78 per cent of whole objects have been seized, adopted by France, Romania, Spain, the Netherlands, Bulgaria, Germany, Hungary, Belgium and Greece.
What to look at in the present day
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Nato secretary-general Mark Rutte travels to Latvia.
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European parliament votes on delay to EU deforestation regulation.
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