Whats up, that is Kenji from Hong Kong.
Like in lots of different elements of the world, the information right here this week has been dominated by President Donald Trump. The impacts of his return to the White Home are merely unavoidable, for each the town and China as an entire, in all probability for the subsequent 4 years. The extremely anticipated tariffs on Chinese language items — which had been introduced not on Day 1 as anticipated however on Day 2 — dragged inventory costs southward in Hong Kong and mainland China alike on Wednesday.
Although the adjustments Trump has launched had been largely anticipated, the beginning of his second time period has additionally been stuffed with surprises and drastic turnarounds, introduced via his half-hour lengthy inaugural handle, first batch of government orders and different actions.
From a #techAsia perspective, what stands out thus far are his coverage reversals and reinforcements on vehicles, power, manufacturing and commerce, and they’re additionally intertwined. His declaration revoking the Biden administration’s electrical automobile mandate got here in tandem with the re-withdrawal from the Paris local weather settlement and his “sacred pledge” to avoid wasting the US auto business and people jobs for “our great American autoworkers”.
The emphasis on American manufacturing, in the meantime, is instantly tied to extracting extra oil — “liquid gold”, as he calls it — whereas he additionally needs to “export American energy all over the world” to convey extra wealth to the nation. There appears to be minimal consideration for the ecological penalties and environmental destruction of this method, as mirrored in his motto “Drill, baby, drill.”
This coverage, if absolutely carried out, might presumably profit sure industries and customers within the US, however Zhou Xinhuai, vice-chair and CEO of Chinese language state-owned oil main Cnooc, on Wednesday expressed “uncertainty” over the results, because it might put strain on oil costs.
Trump additionally referred to his nation’s proud historical past and previous accomplishments, which is par for the course in any politician’s speech. What will not be regular is infringing on the rights of others, which he did along with his calls to broaden “our territory” and “take back” the Panama Canal, which belongs to a sovereign Central American nation.
Panamanian President José Raúl Mulino instantly and forcefully rejected Trump’s phrases and even appealed to the United Nations. The entire of Canada and Denmark’s Greenland are equally on Trump’s radar, although they weren’t talked about in his speech on Monday.
Trump stated he has launched into “the revolution of common sense”, as he defines it. Now we have had a glimpse of that sense in his first few days again in workplace. There’ll probably be much more of it to return within the subsequent 4 years.
The opposite Chinese language app
The destiny of TikTok within the US was arguably one of the intently monitored points that Trump had vowed to take up as soon as again in workplace. Whereas he granted the social media platform a 75-day grace interval on Day 1 and a full reprieve could possibly be in sight, so-called “TikTok refugees” are dashing to Xiaohongshu.
Nikkei Asia’s Cissy Zhou explains this fascinating phenomenon: Washington’s political strain on TikTok spurred the app’s American customers to flock to a different Chinese language different within the identify of “free speech”. This is without doubt one of the points Trump took up in his Monday handle, slamming his predecessor and vowing to “immediately stop all government censorship”.
In response to a number of workers, nevertheless, Xiaohongshu “had no idea how to handle” the inflow, because it had no capability for censoring English content material.
Aside from TikTok, Zhou additionally appeared into the questions surrounding the affect of Elon Musk — Trump’s largest marketing campaign donor and the world’s richest particular person — within the new administration.
The billionaire behind Tesla has vital enterprise pursuits in China and has beforehand described himself as “kind of pro-China”. He could possibly be at odds with a lot of China hawks within the second Trump administration, and will even be labelled a nationwide safety danger as a consequence of his connections to the second-largest financial system on the planet.
Chipping in
Chinese language tech corporations have a voracious urge for food for synthetic intelligence chips as they search to meet up with US rivals. So when Washington stopped AI chipmaker Nvidia from promoting its strongest silicon to China, Huawei stepped in to fill a niche.
The sanctioned Chinese language tech large is trying to take market share by encouraging native corporations to undertake its rival processors for “inference” duties, writes the Monetary Occasions’ Eleanor Olcott.
Trade insiders report that Huawei’s Ascend chips don’t work nicely for mannequin coaching as a consequence of technical glitches when the chips are put collectively into a big cluster. As an alternative, Huawei helps clients use their chips for inference, the method of calling upon a skilled mannequin to generate a response.
The corporate is betting that inference shall be an even bigger supply of future demand if the tempo of mannequin coaching slows and AI functions equivalent to chatbots change into extra widespread.
With sturdy authorities assist and spectacular chip design, Huawei is seen internally by Nvidia as its most severe competitor in China.
A divided world
Even earlier than Trump’s return to the presidency, China appears to have been nicely ready for a probably more durable line by Washington, because it was already allocating its investments away from the US and its allies.
Nikkei Asia’s Stella Yifan Xie took a deep dive into numerous knowledge factors to point that China has regained momentum when it comes to abroad funding in 2024, as it’s on monitor to hit an eight-year excessive, behind solely the 2016 peak, when Chinese language cash was gobbling up trophy belongings within the US. However in the present day, the principle locations are in south-east Asia, India and the Center East, whereas slicing reliance on the superior economies within the west.
Elevated Chinese language investments within the international south ought to assist keep away from tariffs underneath the Trump administration, however the development can be about coping with its personal problems with extra capability. As Chen Dong, chief Asia strategist and head of Asia analysis at Pictet Wealth Administration, factors out, “the focus has shifted towards tapping into new markets for growth”.
Nevertheless, Trump’s tariff on nations aside from China might nonetheless disrupt corporations’ relocation plans. Solely time will inform on that entrance.
A court docket case and an earthquake
Whereas Trump 2.0 dominates international headlines, Taiwan’s tech business has loads of nonpresidential information to supply. Nikkei Asia’s chief tech correspondent Lauly Li is following a court docket case during which Foxconn and its founder Terry Gou have been sued by former government Tai Jeng-wu over a pay dispute. The difficulty is said to his efficiency as president and CEO of Foxconn unit Sharp, the Japanese electronics producer.
Tai, who led the ailing Osaka-based firm between 2016 and 2022, argues he was entitled to incentives and bonuses if he achieved sure benchmarks, together with bringing Sharp again to the primary part of the Tokyo Inventory Change, which he did. In response to one among Li’s sources, the compensation settlement was made between Tai and Gou, who was Foxconn chair on the time. Neither facet has commented on the matter, as authorized procedures are underneath method.
Staying in Taiwan, one other large-scale magnitude-6.4 earthquake hit the island on Tuesday, putting close to the town of Chiayi. The southwestern metropolis is near Tainan, the place Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co operates a cluster of its most superior chip vegetation. Whereas employees had been briefly evacuated, no materials disruption to manufacturing has been reported thus far.
Urged reads
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Japan to vet investments by corporations underneath China state affect (Nikkei Asia)
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TikTok proprietor ByteDance plans to spend $12bn on AI chips in 2025 (FT)
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Suzuki, Hyundai, VinFast to broaden EVs in India as international market slows (Nikkei Asia)
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Donald Trump says China tariffs might hinge on TikTok deal (FT)
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Taiwan experiences unprecedented undersea cable injury this yr (Nikkei Asia)
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Charlwin Mao, the RedNote founder welcoming ‘TikTok refugees’ (FT)
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Voters throughout Asia take care of AI-generated pretend movies and pictures (Nikkei Asia)
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‘We’ve impeded China’: departing official defends US export controls (FT)
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Trump unveils $500bn AI funding by SoftBank, OpenAI and Oracle (Nikkei Asia)
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Is TikTok pushing Taiwan’s younger folks nearer to China? (FT)
#techAsia is co-ordinated by Nikkei Asia’s Katherine Creel in Tokyo, with help from the FT tech desk in London.
Enroll right here at Nikkei Asia to obtain #techAsia every week. The editorial group will be reached at techasia@nex.nikkei.co.jp.
