Tag: NFP
Nowcasting Personal NFP utilizing ADP Information
My guess for personal NFP:
Determine 1: Personal NFP (daring black), nowcast (blue), +/- 1 std error band (grey), Bloomberg consensus (crimson +). Supply: BLS,...
A Puzzle: Non-public NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official [updated]
The puzzle stays: regardless of an under-consensus 99K addition to personal ADP-Stanford NFP (far under consensus 144K). ADP cumulative change above CES cumulative change,...
Completely different Counts of NFP Beneficial properties
All present positive factors since January 2023, save the CPS primarily based.
Determine 1: Cumulative change in NFP employment based on CES (daring black), implied...
A Puzzle: Personal NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official
The ADP survey cumulative improve in personal NFP since 2023M03 is 3.1mn, extra than the two.8mn reported within the present official CES sequence.
In distinction,...
