Tag: Econbrowser
Employment in December | Econbrowser
Opposite to expectations, nonfarm payroll employment surprises +256K vs. +164K Bloomberg consensus. The usual deviation of modifications is 85K, with imply +186 (over 2024),...
Dangers, 2025 | Econbrowser
Prime of my record:
Supply: Kalshi, accessed 1/3/2025.
Would this be unhealthy information? Nicely, sure. However worse but given the incoming administration. For proof, I've however...
A Manufacturing Recession? | Econbrowser
As soon as once more, Heritage’s EJ Antoni speaks (on Fox) a couple of manufacturing recession, specializing in employment. I’ll simply level out that,...
Intra-industry Commerce Estimated | Econbrowser
Oren Cass argues the thought of comparative benefit driving commerce is outdated. I conform to a sure extent, however he doesn’t clarify why. I’d...
Different Enterprise Cycle Indicators | Econbrowser
NBER BCDC indicators mentioned right here. Different beneath.
Determine 1: Implied nonfarm Payroll early benchmark (NFP) (daring blue), civilian employment adjusted utilizing CBO immigration estimates...
Canada and Recession | Econbrowser
Discover that I don’t say in or out of recession. Nonetheless, with sluggish progress (and per capita progress damaging), there’s loads of dialogue (e.g.,...
