by Calculated Threat on 12/10/2024 09:07:00 AM
At this time, within the Calculated Threat Actual Property Publication: Half 1: Present State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December 2024
A quick excerpt:
This 2-part overview for mid-December supplies a snapshot of the present housing market.
I all the time focus first on stock, since stock normally tells the story! I’m watching months-of-supply carefully.
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New residence stock, as a share of complete stock, continues to be very excessive. The next graph makes use of Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) current residence stock from the Nationwide Affiliation of Realtors® (NAR) and new residence stock from the Census Bureau (solely accomplished and beneath development stock).It took a lot of years following the housing bust for brand new residence stock to return to the pre-bubble p.c of complete stock. Then, with the pandemic, current residence stock collapsed and now the p.c of latest properties is 21.6% of the whole on the market stock, down from a peak of 27.2% in December 2022.
The p.c of latest properties of complete stock ought to proceed to say no as current residence stock will increase. Nonetheless, the p.c of latest residence stock will improve seasonally over the Winter as current properties are withdrawn from the market.
There’s way more within the article.