Wolves to get a outcome in opposition to Liverpool? Our soccer betting skilled Jones Is aware of is again to supply his perception on each Premier League recreation.
Newcastle vs Man Metropolis, Saturday 12.30pm
Newcastle have turn into very tame beneath Eddie Howe.
Once they roared to Champions League qualification they have been fierce, energetic and horrible to play in opposition to. They’re none of these issues of their present guise – and have been woefully uncovered at Fulham final weekend. A outcome that had been coming for some time after some fine-margin victories the place they’d run away from their poor underlying numbers.
Since November final 12 months – a run of 33 video games – when assessing ever current Premier League groups, solely West Ham have averaged extra anticipated targets in opposition to per 90 than Newcastle – that is 1.83 a recreation.
And their pictures confronted knowledge is sending out alarm bells.
Remarkably, Newcastle have conceded 10 or extra pictures of their final 26 Premier League fixtures and that equates to a pictures confronted per recreation common of 15.8 – the third worst file within the Premier League over that timeframe.
That lack of ability to stem the movement in direction of your objective leaves them mightily weak to a correct shellacking from Manchester Metropolis if Pep Guardiola’s group are within the temper.
It’d sound manifestly apparent however the Evens on provide for Metropolis to win and Erling Haaland to attain – a person who’s averaging a objective each 53 minutes throughout his final 11 Premier League appearances – appears a winner in ready.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Erling Haaland to attain in a Man Metropolis win is Evens
Arsenal vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Have a Premier League group ever been shorter than 8/11 to win a recreation to nil?
Nicely, that is the worth surrounding this monstrous Arsenal defence shutting out Leicester and profitable the sport. It’s going to most likely land however boy that may be a quick value.
I would a lot fairly again the beneath 2.5 targets line at 6/4 with Sky Wager in anticipation that Arsenal might put their cue on the rack to protect vitality throughout this relentless run of seven video games in 23 days. That is additionally the kind of recreation the place they’re going to miss Martin Odegaard’s creativity to interrupt down what will probably be a really low block by Leicester. A low-scoring residence win it’s.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Brentford vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
No group have made extra fouls within the Premier League than West Ham (80) and with the stress rising after what has been a shoddy begin to the season, I would anticipate comparable averages to be hit right here.
With a central midfield of Lucas Paqueta (1.81 fouls per recreation in final 30 begins), Carlos Soler (made six fouls in simply 120 minutes of motion) and Tomas Soucek (1.58 fouls per recreation in final 30 begins), it is that space of the pitch the place the majority of foul play might happen.
Utilizing the BuildABet perform with Sky Wager, I would advise combining Lucas Paqueta to make 2+ fouls and Vitaly Janelt to be fouled at the very least as soon as which brings out a 6/4 shot that stands a terrific likelihood of touchdown in a recreation the place the draw is fancied.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Chelsea vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Brighton to win the nook race at 2/1 with Sky Wager is a correct banging wager.
Groups that prefer to play an aggressive excessive line are notoriously related to conceding fewer corners.
It is sensible.
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Brighton head coach Fabian Hurzeler admits he must discover ways to management his feelings following his purple card throughout their 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest.
The important thing objective of attempting to catch opposition gamers offside is to maintain them from having sustained stress in your objective. Should you can maintain a group away out of your field, then the probability of the opposition managing to submit pictures that might result in corners or getting deep down the wings to pressure corners is diminished.
To simplify the speculation, the upper and extra aggressive the line of defense, the less corners are prone to be conceded. And the market does not value up the nook markets with that factored in, so we’re in enterprise.
The pattern is already there for Fabian Hurzeler’s groups conceding a low quantity of corners from his time at St Pauli, who gained the Bundesliga 2 title final season and conceded simply 130 corners to a median of simply 3.8 per recreation – the fewest of any group.
It has continued at Brighton, who’ve solely conceded simply 2.2 corners per 90 this season. It is a model of soccer that does result in massive possibilities being supplied up on their objective however not a excessive quantity of corners through sustained stress. They will prohibit Chelsea to a low quantity and rack up the nook depend on the different finish.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Brighton to win most corners (2/1 with Sky Wager)
Everton vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm
Regardless of winless begins for each groups, there have been shoots of hope in ahead areas.
The Everton entrance 4 mixed dangerously collectively at Leicester for 60 minutes and will have put the sport to mattress, whereas when you have got Eberechi Eze you at all times have an opportunity in a soccer match. Palace stay a menace to anybody.
Sean Dyche will need this to be a gritty, no-thrills model of recreation however Everton’s aren’t defending securely sufficient to try this.
The over 2.5 targets line at 4/5 with Sky Wager ought to go shut.
As ought to Dwight McNeil’s goalscorer value of 4/1 with Sky Wager.
He is revelling in taking part in in a extra central position behind Dominic Calvert-Lewin and has posted two or extra pictures in 4 of his final 5 appearances, racking up 12 pictures in complete and located the online in opposition to Aston Villa.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Nottingham Forest vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm
Backing the shape horse is normally a clever tactic in betting and Fulham are galloping alongside properly beneath Marco Silva, who but once more is exhibiting what a sensible operator he’s. His entrance 4 are a harmful proposition, led by the irresistible Adama Traore down the suitable flank. A visit to Forest, who’re with out their star man Morgan Gibbs-White, appears an excellent alternative for the away aspect at 19/10 with Sky Wager.
Gibbs-White has missed seven video games since Forest have been promoted they usually’ve misplaced 5 of these, scoring simply 5 occasions within the course of and averaging simply 0.79 anticipated targets per 90. Plus, the Metropolis Floor has solely seen the house aspect win on three events from the final 16 Premier League video games. Fulham ought to maintain no worry. They need to be backed to keep away from defeat.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Fulham double likelihood (4/6 with Sky Wager, a part of 9/1 treble)
Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Wolves vs Liverpool, reside on Sky Sports activities
Should you embrace their Carabao Cup match in opposition to Brighton, Wolves can have performed all seven of the highest eight within the Premier League already this season after this match. It has been a rotten fixture checklist.
That makes them a tough group to evaluate, particularly after they’ve posted some encouraging performances and racked up some wholesome underlying numbers. Gary O’Neil’s group have conceded nearly seven extra targets than their anticipated targets in opposition to numbers recommend – the largest defensive underperformance.
These numbers will shut, probably this weekend. Wolves are owed a little bit of luck and Liverpool confirmed of their defeat to Nottingham Forest this Arne Slot group will undergo some sticky patches this season. Wolves to keep away from defeat at 9/4 with Sky Wager appears an enormous value.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Ipswich vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Ipswich vs Aston Villa, reside on Sky Sports activities
Ipswich are having to turn into a bit nastier than they have been within the Championship with the intention to try to survive at this degree.
They’re making extra fouls (14.2), receiving extra yellow playing cards (3) and making extra tackles (18.4) than they did per 90 within the Championship. Aston Villa are additionally a group that like confrontation and this appears a possible firecracker of an encounter the place the playing cards line is a price play at 10/11 with Sky Wager for 50+ reserving factors.
Referees are as fussy as ever within the Premier League and 19 of the final 23 matches have seen 50+ reserving factors dished out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: 50+ reserving factors (10/11 with Sky Wager, a part of 9/1 treble)
Manchester United vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Man Utd drew with FC Twente within the Europa League in midweek
This must be the trickiest recreation of the weekend to type a powerful opinion on. It may finish 4-1 both method. It may finish 4-4. I have not a clue.
I do suppose Manchester United are bettering on what we noticed final season, only a primary drawdown of their baffling knowledge from final season proves that. They’ve solely confronted 10 pictures per recreation this season after dealing with 17.6 per recreation final season and are averaging simply 3.1 corners per recreation conceded this season which was at a outstanding 7.3 final season, probably the most of any Premier League group.
In the meantime, Tottenham’s file in opposition to top-11 groups away from residence for the reason that begin of final season is terrible, profitable two of 12 matches, and conceding a median of two.2 targets per recreation.
The 13/10 on a house win did tempt me however I am not fairly reliable sufficient of United but to speculate.
A high-scoring draw it’s then.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Bournemouth vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports activities
Bournemouth vs Southampton, reside on Sky Sports activities
When there’s Tyler Dibling, there’s hope for Southampton this season.
We would simply be wanting on the subsequent celebrity in English soccer based mostly on his early output.
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Highlights from the Premier League match between Southampton and Ipswich
The 18-year-old academy product wowed on debut in opposition to Manchester United, bamboozling Diogo Dalot who made 4 fouls in opposition to him, together with one to win Saints a penalty. He then scored his first objective of his profession within the 1-1 draw with Ipswich and created one other massive second for Cameron Archer, who hit the submit with a wasteful end.
Monday thirtieth September 6:30pm
Kick off 8:00pm
His attacking output and the way in which he strikes with the ball jogs my memory of Jack Grealish – and he attracts fouls like him too, profitable eight fouls in his two Premier League begins. His reverse quantity Milos Kerkez may be in for a difficult night and appears a spot of worth to be carded at 9/2 with Sky Wager.
