Our soccer betting skilled Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception and greatest angles on each sport because the Premier League returns.
Manchester United vs Fulham, Friday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities
A fast reminder: Manchester United aren’t excellent.
Together with final season being their lowest-ever Premier League end, additionally they completed up with a damaging aim distinction for the primary time. They conceded 58 league targets, their worst season defensively for 45 years and confronted the second most photographs of any workforce (667) – solely relegated Sheffield Utd (678) confronted extra.
A change of supervisor will convey new hope although. Wait – checks notes – Erik ten Hag continues to be Manchester United supervisor? What is that this sorcery?
Anyway, the 4/7 with Sky Guess on a United house win is like driving on an icy evening. Simply swerved.
You could be forgiven for being unaware that Adama Traore performs for Fulham – he performed simply 364 minutes final season.
However the foul-winning machine has appeared match and firing in pre-season, taking part in 89 minutes of Fulham’s win over Hoffenheim and may very well be ripe for some Marco Silva like to get his profession again on observe.
This can be a participant that within the 4 seasons between 2019-2023 managed to get a participant carded each 132 minutes of soccer from a 7,797-minute pattern measurement with the backdrop of a 2.8 fouls gained ratio per 90 minutes. Ridiculous numbers.
With United’s issues at left-back, Traore may very well be lining up towards Lisandro Martinez, who is not going to carry again if tasked with stopping him. This makes his 4/1 quotes with Sky Guess about receiving a card very tempting certainly.
Martinez has averaged a card each 0.29 video games within the Premier League since signing for United so these odds undervalue the true likelihood of one other, particularly if Traore begins up towards him.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Ipswich vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm
Two managers with very totally different trajectories are set to style Premier League administration for the primary time.
Kieran McKenna is not going to alter for anybody. He’ll look to be expansive with the ball to get his two key vast males in Leif Davis and Wes Burns into harmful areas. It ought to play straight into Liverpool’s arms right here although, who will be capable to create massive moments – and when you have got somebody of the ilk of Diogo Jota in your workforce, these massive moments flip into targets.
Jota may very well be set for an enormous season if staying match for Arne Slot. Someway, he is solely scored 17 Premier League targets within the final two seasons however having performed simply 2,281 minutes it means his goals-per-game ratio is the sixth-best of any participant to have scored 10 or extra targets in that interval.
If he can rating at that price of a aim each 134 minutes, he’ll be mixing it with the highest goalscorers within the Premier League.
Ipswich conceded 57 targets final season regardless of promotion – solely the seventh-best file within the Sky Guess Championship.
Portman Street may very well be a goal-heavy place this season and Jota can get his season up and operating. The 11/2 with Sky Guess for him to attain twice is a runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Arsenal vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Wolves ended the marketing campaign with only one win of their final 10 video games and have misplaced Pedro Neto to Chelsea over the summer season. With Matheus Cunha additionally unlikely to be at full health, making an attempt to make a case for Wolves to even rating on this match is a tough argument towards a workforce that must be title favourites to my calculations (13/8 with Sky Guess).
This Arsenal workforce is able to compete on all fronts now. They’re a correct Premier League powerhouse that appears, together with Man Metropolis, significantly away from the chasing pack. Mikel Arteta has constructed probably the greatest defensive items in Premier League historical past – it is a workforce that conceded simply 9 Premier League targets of their final 18 matches with an unbelievable 0.65 anticipated targets towards common per 90.
This may very well be the proper fixture to begin with. An Arsenal win to nil at 10/11 with Sky Guess appears the way in which to get them in your aspect.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Arsenal to win to nil (10/11 with Sky Guess – a part of the 14/1 weekend treble!)
Everton vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
I need Brighton to be good once more this season. They’re such a shrewd operation which have revolutionised recruitment fashions and how you can punch above your weight within the Premier League. Nevertheless, there are too many unknowns within the equation relating to trusting them too closely on the opening weekend in what’s a winnable fixture.
Below new supervisor Fabian Hurzeler, Brighton appeared sharp in pre-season, successful each sport comfortably and are able to arresting their decline of final season in ahead areas. The duty now’s to show that pleasant kind into league factors. They are not fairly a betting proposition but however I am getting the vibes they are going to be very quickly.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Newcastle vs Southampton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
With no Europe to take care of this season, Newcastle may simply problem the highest 4 as soon as once more.
Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon are real world-class abilities that might make a mark for any workforce within the Premier League. If Eddie Howe can discover the stability that evaded him final season when making an attempt to construct a strong defence then I would need to be investing in them when the value is correct.
Nevertheless, till I’ve seen proof that the defence has been sorted – relegated Luton, Burnley and Sheffield United managed to attain six instances towards the Toon in 2024 – opposition gamers should be of curiosity within the goalscorer market.
Saints might be inspired to play with freedom when attacking and Will Smallbone is the participant overpriced at 10/1 with Sky Guess to get on the scoresheet from midfield. He scored in three of his final seven begins within the Sky Guess Championship and was unfortunate to not rating in final weekend’s pleasant with Getafe.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm
How Bournemouth cope with out Dominic Solanke might be a key issue of their begin to their season – and the info does not look good in that regard. For the reason that begin of the 2022/23 season, the Cherries have performed seven Premier League video games with out Solanke and are winless, shedding six and scoring simply two targets.
Andoni Iraola is a really clever and underrated boss so could have a plan to repair it however I would be cautious of supporting them till they discover a appropriate substitute. Each time I am seeking to again Nottingham Forest, the proficient Morgan Gibbs-White is my first port of name and he appears an attention-grabbing proposition to attain or help at 6/5 with Sky Guess.
This wager would have landed in 4 of Forest’s final 5 house matches final season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
West Ham vs Aston Villa, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
With fatigue and damage tolls more likely to be an enormous issue this season, discovering a technique to predict which golf equipment are at risk of doubtless underperforming resulting from workload points have been on my radar.
And it is Villa that basically appealed to me to be a workforce to oppose this season on the costs within the ante submit markets the place I would be eager for the likes of Tottenham and Brighton to complete above them.
Regardless of their unbelievable season the place Champions League soccer was achieved, they nonetheless picked up 39 accidents final season – the fourth highest of any workforce.
Champions League soccer will take a bodily and psychological toll on the Premier League marketing campaign. Villa ended final season very badly too. During the last 17 Premier League video games, they’ve averaged a per-90 anticipated targets towards determine of 1.95 which was is the fourth worst within the Premier League. And the final 10 video games within the kind desk exhibits they had been twelfth.
I would not be stunned to see West Ham thrive underneath Julen Lopetegui, whose emphasis on possession soccer and taking part in a better defensive position that made Sevilla an thrilling prospect to look at ought to go down nicely on the London Stadium after the dirge that has been served up at instances underneath David Moyes.
They will keep away from defeat at 4/9 with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: West Ham to keep away from defeat (4/9 with Sky Guess – a part of the 14/1 weekend treble!)
Brentford vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Crystal Palace gained seven of their 13 video games underneath Oliver Glasner final season, taking 24 factors and successful six of their final seven. I used to be excited for what may very well be achieved this season however the switch window is tempering my enthusiasm with Michael Olise gone and Marc Guehi and Joachim Andersen doubtlessly going too.
Brentford notoriously are sturdy at house towards groups from the underside half, shedding simply two of their 20 fixtures throughout the final two seasons. I am not precisely bouncing about their prospects this season with a doubtlessly stagnate squad at Thomas Frank’s disposal, however this may very well be a good time to play Palace with a lot switch hypothesis echoing within the background. The 11/8 with Sky Guess for the house win appeared the way in which to play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Chelsea vs Manchester Metropolis, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY £2M SUPER 6 HERE!
Manchester Metropolis at 4/5 with Sky Guess for the win is definitely handed up primarily based on the possible understrength nature of the Metropolis beginning XI and a unusually terrible latest file towards top-six groups away from house.
Metropolis are virtually definitely going to be with out Rodri, who did not characteristic in any of their pre-season and fellow Euro 2024 finalists Kyle Walker, John Stones and Phil Foden are additionally wanting match observe. Metropolis misplaced all three video games with out Rodri on the highway final season at Wolves, Arsenal and Aston Villa and averaged a per sport common of simply 0.66 anticipated targets throughout these three fixtures.
Additionally, Pep Guardiola’s aspect have solely gained two of the final 10 matches away at a top-six finisher throughout the final two seasons with six of these 10 video games falling underneath the two.5 targets line.
Chelsea aren’t precisely a workforce to belief although with Enzo Maresca more likely to take some time to search out his greatest XI from the 41 gamers he can choose from.
When it does click on although, Chelsea have the expertise to compete with the highest golf equipment.
It is difficult to formulate a betting plan for this one however heading to the Guess Builder and backing Chelsea with a +2 aim handicap together with underneath 3.5 match targets brings out a 10/11 shot with Sky Guess which has a positive probability of touchdown.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Leicester vs Tottenham, Monday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities
I simply love the Dominic Solanke signing. He may very well be the ultimate piece of the jigsaw for Ange Postecoglou as he is the proper modern-day centre-forward that may be a nice penalty field finisher and hyperlinks the play expertly.
I feel Postecoglou and his strategies can take him to the following stage – and boy is he going to get probabilities taking part in as the point of interest on this Tottenham assault.
Solanke scored 19 targets final season at Bournemouth with solely two of them coming from the penalty spot – I am totally anticipating him to surpass these numbers with the extent of service bettering vast from areas. It is these finishes from cutbacks from vast areas he does excel with and I would not be in any respect stunned to see him get off the mark towards who I’ve down because the more than likely to prop up the division this season.
The 4/1 with Sky Guess for Solanke to attain first is begging to be backed.