Our soccer betting professional Jones Is aware of is again to offer his perception on each Premier League sport and suggestions up an 11/1 weekend treble.
Southampton vs Manchester United, Saturday 12.30pm
Russell Martin’s soccer within the Premier League is struggling some teething issues.
They’ve seemed snug in possession and artistic with build-up play that has resulted in massive spells of Saints trying like a Premier League facet, but their dangerous technique of enjoying out from the again is costing them badly.
They’re the 8/13 favourites with Sky Guess for the drop and one factor Manchester United are excellent at beneath Erik ten Hag is swatting apart the lesser lights of the Premier League. When he wants a consequence, one normally drops for the Dutchman.
In 20 away video games towards groups that completed the season within the backside half, Manchester United have gained 14, drawn 4 and misplaced simply twice. In the meantime, their report towards relegated groups on the highway is six wins from six matches, conceding simply two targets. United to win and beneath 3.5 targets comes out at 6/4 with Sky Guess – it ought to go shut.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Brighton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
Are Brighton the actual deal? The markets are screaming for them after three video games of the Fabian Hurzeler period.
They’re simply as more likely to end within the high 4 as Manchester United in keeping with the outright odds (9/2 with Sky Guess) and have been backed into 13/8 for a top-six end, having been a lot larger firstly of the marketing campaign.
No European soccer is definitely of their favour – as is the array of attacking choices throughout their ahead line, like Kaoru Mitoma, who appears to be like overpriced to attain at 2/1 with Sky Guess in a winnable sport for Brighton.
The Japanese star appears to be like again to his better of the 22/23 season when he averaged virtually a purpose each different sport within the Premier League on the Amex. He can fireplace in a house win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Crystal Palace vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm
I’ve but to see any arduous proof to counsel that Leicester may have sufficient firepower to keep away from relegation this season.
They’ve created simply 1.33 value of anticipated targets from open play of their three fixtures thus far and seemed woefully in need of concepts towards Aston Villa final weekend regardless of what seemed a nervy 2-1 scoreline for Villa. It was way more snug than that.
In the meantime, Oliver Glasner ought to be capable to get Palace rolling in the proper course now the switch window is shut. Palace have come out the opposite facet in higher form than many predicted.
And I used to be very impressed by their second-half efficiency at Chelsea the place the introduction of forgotten man Cheick Doucoure fully revitalised their midfield.
He and Adam Wharton may develop a really good partnership in there – one that ought to cause them to a routine residence win on this one the place a Palace victory and beneath 3.5 targets at 13/8 with Sky Guess is value a re-evaluation.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Fulham vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm
West Ham left-back Emerson Palmieri may have his arms full with a revitalised Adama Traore down the Fulham proper flank. Opposition left-backs are all the time answerable for playing cards and fouls when the worth is true up towards the highly effective winger.
Traore has drawn 64 playing cards from the opposition within the Premier League, whereas he and Kenny Tete, who performs at right-back, have already drawn eight fouls between them of their three appearances this season.
Costs just like the 6/4 with Sky Guess for Emerson to make two fouls together with the 9/2 for him to be carded are each dwell. If you happen to mix each you may conjure up a 7/1 shot by the BuildABet perform with Sky Guess.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Nottingham Forest’s defensive course of beneath Nuno Espirito Santo deserves extra respect than the markets are giving them right here. Within the 24 video games since his appointment, solely Man Metropolis, Arsenal and Liverpool have a greater anticipated goals-against output than Forest (1.24 per 90) and so they’ve solely conceded two or extra targets in 4 of their final 17 matches throughout all competitions.
I can belief them to maintain this sport tight.
Liverpool have performed with better management and fewer chaos beneath Arne Slot which is seeing their first-half attacking output endure. They’ve fired simply 3-5-4 first-half pictures in video games towards Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United and have overperformed their anticipated targets output earlier than the break.
The entire targets line is projected to be over three on this encounter, which appears to be like excessive, however it’s the primary half beneath 1.5 targets line at 8/11 with Sky Guess that appears probably the most safe solution to play the anti-goals angle.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Beneath 1.5 first-half targets (8/11 with Sky Guess – a part of 11/1 weekend treble!)
Man Metropolis vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Going by how relentless and targeted Manchester Metropolis have been firstly of the season, this could as soon as once more flip right into a predictable betting warmth the place quick costs like Metropolis to win and Erling Haaland to attain are more likely to cop.
We have to get artistic to search out an angle and the Brentford offside line at two or extra offsides at 10/11 with Sky Guess stands an amazing probability. The Bees have been flagged offside 20 instances within the final 5 conferences with Metropolis, with the ‘two or extra’ line touchdown on every event. They do get the ball ahead shortly and Metropolis’s excessive line does imply offside alternatives for the opposition are all the time on supply.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Aston Villa vs Everton, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Jarrad Branthwaite is changing into a greater participant each sport he misses for Everton, who’ve been with out him six instances because the begin of final season and have misplaced 5 of these, conceding a median of two.5 targets per sport. With the noise changing into as loud as ever round Goodison Park, this can be a nightmare fixture for Sean Dyche.
Aston Villa gained 12 of their 18 video games towards groups that completed twelfth or decrease final season and had been unbeaten in all 10 Premier League residence video games towards the underside half, profitable eight.
The very fact Ollie Watkins was given a while to recharge over the worldwide break would not bode properly for Everton both. The Villa striker has failed to attain in his final seven appearances in all competitions, lacking six huge probabilities. That does not fear me, although – he is too deadly a finisher to let that run go on an excessive amount of longer. Villa to win and Watkins to attain at 7/4 with Sky Guess appears to be like a winner in ready.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Ollie Watkins to attain in an Aston Villa win (7/4 with Sky Guess – a part of weekend 11/1 treble)
Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Saturday 8pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
That is shaping as much as be a full of life watch. Chelsea seemed purple scorching going ahead at instances of their 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace however equally went lacking at key factors of the match which restricted them from turning their forthright play right into a victory.
In the meantime, Bournemouth did not win any of their 12 Premier League video games vs final season’s high six – profitable simply two factors from a attainable 36 – and have not seemed as watertight this season, conceding 25 pictures on track of their 4 video games throughout all competitions. Targets must be on the menu with anytime goalscorer costs like 15/8 with Sky Guess on Antoine Semenyo and a couple of/1 on Noni Madueke each doubtless to offer punters a good run.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Tottenham vs Arsenal, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Because of Arsenal’s choice points in midfield, with no Martin Odegaard or Declan Rice, I can see Mikel Arteta treating this sport like a Champions League knockout sport away from residence in a partisan environment. Getting out of there with some extent can be seen as an excellent consequence.
It is going to be low-risk soccer with the intention of silencing the house crowd at each alternative, and I am assured in Arsenal with the ability to frustrate Spurs based mostly on their spectacular highway report. Arsenal have taken 28 factors from a attainable 30 away from residence in 2024 and are but to path on the highway this 12 months. It is a defence that has conceded simply three targets in these 10 video games.
The way in which to frustrate an Ange Postecoglou facet is to defend in numbers and block the overloads out large as Spurs aren’t very streetwise at attempting to interrupt down low-block defences. They’re changing into a staff that posts numerous pictures however their anticipated targets return would not fairly match up – that factors to a problem with creating high-quality probabilities.
I believe Arsenal can ship this sport down a low-scoring avenue with the 11/8 with Sky Guess on beneath 2.5 targets representing some nice worth.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Beneath 2.5 targets (11/8 with Sky Guess – a part of 7/1 weekend treble!)
Wolves vs Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
The expected intense midfield battle is the place my betting instincts have taken me for this one.
Newcastle’s trio of Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton and presumably Sandro Tonali are all in-your-face sort of midfielders that make a excessive quantity of fouls. If you happen to complete up their fouls-committed averages from final season they’re making 5.8 fouls per 90 between them. Even this season, Joelinton and Guimaraes have made 18 fouls mixed within the Premier League.
I am anticipating comparable averages for the journey to Molineux the place I just like the look of Wolves midfielder Mario Lemina’s costs to be fouled up towards that fouling frenzy of a Newcastle midfield. He is drawn 15 fouls in his final 14 begins for Wolves, together with two within the 1-1 draw with Forest final weekend, so the 7/2 with Sky Guess for him to be fouled twice appears to be like a runner.