Calculated Threat: Replace: Lumber Costs Unchanged YoY

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by Calculated Threat on 9/10/2024 01:52:00 PM

Right here is one other month-to-month replace on lumber costs.

SPECIAL NOTE: The CME group discontinued the Random Size Lumber Futures contract on Could 16, 2023.  I switched to a physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was began in August 2022. 

Sadly, this impacts long run worth comparisons because the new contract was priced about 24% larger than the outdated random size contract for the interval when each contracts had been obtainable.

This graph exhibits CME random size framing futures by means of final August (blue), and the brand new physically-delivered Lumber Futures (LBR) contract beginning in August 2022 (Pink).

LBR is presently at $505 per 1000 board toes, up barely from a 12 months in the past.

Click on on graph for bigger picture.

There may be considerably of a seasonal demand for lumber, and lumber costs ceaselessly peak within the first half of the 12 months.

We did not see a major runup within the Spring interval of 2023 or 2024 because of the housing slowdown.  

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